prediction and prevention: is not the same
There is a difference between the forecast and prevention. Both types are anticipatory evaluation processes.
not warn us that we win the lottery, we increase the salary, or good weather if you go to the beach, but if we can foresee as possible. We can even, if it is in our best endeavor, make it possible.
prevent, forestall, means hinder, impede an effect, either through avoidance or, if not possible, by preparing a defensive strategy. If rain threatens, we avoid going out or carry an umbrella, just in case.
The provision of a risk involves a strategy to overcome it, without substantially altering our plans.
The risk prevention involves avoidance. This well know insurance companies, also called forecasting. Risk cover so that, given not reverse the situation and circumstances of those affected. If a house is burning you have the money to do another.
Prevention means avoiding the risk.
extreme Prevention puts more emphasis on what you do not want to happen, that in achieving what you want to happen. Or put another way, if there are conflicts between one thing and another is chosen first. Abuse prevention would reduce the probability of occurrence of a risk to zero, as a prerequisite to commit to an action.
Somehow denotes an intolerance or hypersensitivity to certain risks, prevention order, and a feeling of helplessness, distrust, suspicion, apprehension deal with situations where it may arise. Little risk behaviors eliminates chances of success.
There prevention relevant or appropriate , which is to provide simple measures can significantly reduce the likelihood of risk and, once made, forget about it until it is revealed. At the risk remaining lives. prevention should not be more expensive, in any sense that the harm to be avoided . Appropriate prevention and generates confidence reassured.
An example: If we leave, we take some basic precautions: check the condition of the car, try a good driver (rest, no drugs) and respecting the rules of the road. These measures give us security and confidence that allows us to relax and focus on something else: the scenery, the music tapes, the conversation with your traveling companion, etc., And maintain a floating attention on driving to detect and respond to any eventuality. Without the above measures of risk awareness car accident we would be more tense, uncertain.
A wrongful prevention or inconvenience characterized by anticipatory claim to exhaust each and every potential risk materializes, with their specific circumstances and their consequences in every moment of development of the action.
is to avoid being surprised, be warned, before any possibility degradatoria, implying the highest definition imagine anything that does not fall into the impossible. This leads us to be constantly in an attitude of "prevent" a military term used to indicate a situation of high alert and tension for action uncertain and threatening because it can happen any time now. Nothing, naturally enough, is irrelevant, may hide a trap into which, ideally, should be anticipated. Therefore, stimuli neutral and irrelevant under suspicion suspicious attitude and become predictors of a threatening situation (generation of evidence), creating alarm. Unlike
prevention relevant, irrelevant once established, does not generate security, relaxation and confidence, and allows focus on something else.
return to the example: If we leave home we ensure the health of the car, try to be in good physical and mental conditions, (although the concern for the worse has not let us sleep well), we respect the traffic rules, but also calculated and on the road, or before, the thousand and one possibilities for something to happen - what if a tire blows? "I'll 90 km per hour .- What if that truck in the curve comes down on me?-reduce and hopefully get it .- What if I get dizzy or short of breath? Who says I can not pass any of this? ... And so at all times. The list is long enough to feel that something or other will happen if a miracle does not intervene, not us, that we are overwhelmed, we can do. Obviously we have not enjoyed driving, or landscape, or music, nor have we talked with the partner. We may be painful, somewhat dizzy, white, and the scare in the body. At worst on a curve pending if, as we guessed in advance, the truck approached the dividing line, we have approached too far right without seeing the gravel and we skidded, even though the truck was perfect for him. Another event that we must take into account in advance for the next trip will not be that if we do not have this we forget, and we do not see the surprise!.
experience that prevention (where applicable) generates peace, security and relaxation, can lead to abuse it as a mechanism of self when you want to achieve those same goals.
abuse prevention implies an overshoot in the calculation of risks, a process of generating evidence, or neutral signal conversion signals warning by altering its significance, and a process of self-observation or attention autofocusing, common factors are inter-related to each .
To break this method, there are several techniques, the cognitive restructuring , relaxation techniques, self-instruction stop thinking, get in touch with the here and now, view the confrontation with feared situations so hit or the pose that there is reality and fantasy in our predictions or anticipations.
As soon as we stay in touch with this and jump to the future catastrophic dyes, we enter the spiral of anticipatory anxiety
Text based on an article: Baeza Villarroel, JC (1994).
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